Name: simplefunctions
Author: spfunctions

Tools observed via MCP handshake

get_context — START HERE. Global market snapshot: top edges (mispriced contracts), price movers, highlights, traditional markets — live exchange data updated every 15 min. Wi
list_theses — List all theses for the authenticated user.
inject_signal — Feed an observation into a thesis — news, price move, or external event. Consumed in next evaluation cycle to update confidence and edges.
trigger_evaluation — Force immediate evaluation: consume all pending signals, re-scan edges, update confidence. Use after injecting important signals.
scan_markets — Search Kalshi prediction markets by keyword, series, or ticker. Returns live prices and volume — data not available via web search. Free-tier and rate-limited.
create_thesis — Create a new prediction market thesis from a TESTABLE CLAIM — a statement that can be verified true or false at a future time. GOOD: "Bitcoin closes 2026 above
explore_public — Browse public theses from other users. Free-tier and rate-limited. Pass a slug to get details, or omit to list all.
get_markets — Get traditional market prices via Databento. Default: SPY, VIX, TLT, GLD, USO. Use topic for deep dives: energy (WTI, Brent, NG, Heating Oil), rates (yield curv
query_databento — Free-form historical market data query via Databento. Stocks, ETFs, CME futures (WTI, Brent, bonds, VIX, FX, BTC), options. OHLCV daily/hourly/minute, trades, B
query — BEST FOR QUESTIONS. Ask any question about probabilities or future events. Returns live contract prices from Kalshi + Polymarket, X/Twitter sentiment, tradition
screen_markets — Indicator-based market screener. The middle layer between raw price scan and LLM thesis edges. Filters the universe by cheap math labels — no LLM round-trip req
create_strategy — Set up automated trading: define entry price, stop loss, take profit, and LLM-evaluated soft conditions. The heartbeat engine checks conditions every 15 min and
list_strategies — Advanced: List trading strategies for a thesis.
update_strategy — Advanced: Update a trading strategy (stop loss, take profit, status).
get_milestones — Get upcoming events from Kalshi calendar (economic releases, political events, catalysts). Free-tier and rate-limited.
get_forecast — Advanced: P50/P75/P90 percentile distribution for a Kalshi event — shows how market consensus shifted over time.
get_settlements — Advanced: Settled contracts with realized P&L.
get_balance — Advanced: Kalshi account balance and portfolio value.
get_orders — Advanced: Current resting orders on Kalshi.
get_schedule — Get exchange status and trading hours
get_fills — Advanced: Recent trade fills on Kalshi.
what_if — Scenario analysis: "what if OPEC cuts production?" Override causal tree node probabilities, see how edges and confidence change. Zero LLM cost, instant.
augment_tree — Advanced: Merge suggested causal tree nodes from evaluations into the tree (append-only).
get_edges — Top mispriced markets across all theses, ranked by edge size. Shows where your model disagrees with the market. No auth = public thesis edges. Auth = private +
get_trade_ideas — S&T-style trade recommendations: actionable pitches synthesized from live market data, edges, and macro context. Each idea has conviction level, catalyst timing
create_intent — Declare an execution intent: "buy X when condition Y, expire at Z." Intents are the single gateway for all order execution. The local runtime daemon evaluates t
list_intents — List execution intents — pending, armed, triggered, executing, partial, filled, expired, cancelled, rejected. Shows the full execution pipeline status.
cancel_intent — Cancel an active intent. Stops trigger evaluation and prevents execution.
search_x — Search X/Twitter for social sentiment on any topic. Returns posts sorted by engagement. Not available via web search — uses X API directly.
x_volume — Advanced: X/Twitter discussion volume trend — timeseries, velocity, peak activity.
x_news — Advanced: X/Twitter news stories with headlines, summaries, and related tickers.
x_account — Advanced: Recent posts from a specific X/Twitter account.
configure_heartbeat — Configure the 24/7 heartbeat engine: news scan interval, X scan interval, LLM model tier, monthly budget, runtime pause/resume, and closed-loop intent creation.
update_thesis — Update thesis metadata: title, lifecycle status (active/paused/archived), webhookUrl. Use configure_heartbeat.paused for runtime heartbeat pause/resume.
add_position — Record a new position in a thesis for tracking. Use after an intent fills or a manual trade.
update_position — Update a position: current price, edge, size, status (open→closed). Use to mark positions as closed or update tracking data.
close_position — Delete a position record from a thesis.
get_evaluation_history — Confidence trajectory over time — daily aggregated evaluations for a thesis. Use to analyze trends, detect convergence/divergence.
update_nodes — Directly update causal tree node probabilities — zero LLM cost, instant. Use when the agent observes a confirmed fact (e.g. "CPI came in at 3.2%") and wants to
get_heartbeat_status — Get heartbeat config + this month's cost summary for a thesis. See news/X scan intervals, model tier, budget usage.
monitor_the_situation — Universal web intelligence. Scrape any URL (Firecrawl full power), analyze with any LLM model, cross-reference with thousands of prediction markets, push to any
enrich_content — Cross-reference any text with thousands of prediction market contracts. Paste content + topics, get divergence analysis: where sentiment disagrees with market p
create_skill — Create a custom agent skill — a reusable prompt/workflow that can be triggered via slash command.
list_skills — List all skills: built-in + user-created custom skills.
run_skill — Get a skill by ID or trigger to run it. Returns the skill prompt and metadata.
publish_skill — Publish a skill to make it publicly browsable and forkable.
fork_skill — Fork a public skill into your collection. No slug needed — just the skill ID.
browse_public_skills — Browse public skills from the community. Free-tier and rate-limited. Filter by category, search, or sort by popularity.
fork_thesis — Fork a thesis. Two modes: (1) Clone — call with just idOrSlug to copy a PUBLIC thesis verbatim into your collection. (2) Evolve — call with newRawThesis to spli
get_world_state — Real-time world model for agents. ~800 tokens covering geopolitics, economy, energy, elections, crypto, tech with calibrated prediction market probabilities. An
get_world_delta — Incremental world state update — only what changed since a timestamp. ~30-50 tokens vs 800 for full state. For periodic refresh during long tasks.
read_forum — Read messages from the agent forum. Returns inbox (unread across subscribed channels) by default. Use channel/ticker/since to filter. The forum is a cross-agent
post_to_forum — Post a message to the agent forum. Share discoveries, edges, coordination signals with other agents.
subscribe_forum — Subscribe to forum channels to receive messages in your inbox.
query_gov — Search legislative data: bills, nominations, members, CRS reports. Cross-references with prediction markets. Use for political/policy questions.
query_econ — Search official economic time series from FRED-backed data. Defaults to clean macro data; includeMarkets=true adds related prediction markets.
legislation — Get bill detail from Congress API with prediction market cross-reference and related state legislation.
inspect_ticker — STEP 2 OF THE LOOP. Once get_world_state surfaces an opportunity, pass the ticker here for full analysis: price, indicators (yield/contagion/regime), microstruc
get_market_detail — Get full detail for a single market: price, volume, indicators, regime label, history pointer, cross-venue counterpart. Lower-level than inspect_ticker — raw JS
get_market_history — Get rolling 7-day price + indicator history for a single market. For trajectory questions and chart rendering.
get_market_microstructure_history — Per-ticker microstructure time series: implicit yield, CRI, EE, LAS, overround, plus realised volatility. Used for charting indicator drift.
batch_markets — Fetch many markets at once by ticker list. Cheaper than calling get_market_detail in a loop.
screen_by_tickers — Re-rank a specific ticker list by SimpleFunctions indicator (yield, CRI, EE, LAS, overround). For "of these N markets, which has best yield?" workflows.
get_market_index — SimpleFunctions Prediction Market Index v2. Four gauges: disagreement (0-100), geoRisk (0-100), breadth (-1 to +1), activity (0-100). Updated every 15 minutes.
get_index_history — Historical SimpleFunctions Index snapshots. Pre-computed every 15 minutes, stored since v2 launch (2026-04-09). For charting trends.
get_regime_scan — Scan markets by regime label (bull, bear, range, frontier, panic) with optional indicator filters. For regime-based screening.
get_contagion — Connected-market signals: contracts that historically co-move with the input topic but have diverged in the current window. Surfaces "this market should have mo
get_market_diff — Diff a market vs the prior window: price delta, volume delta, indicator drift. For "what changed in the last 6h?" questions.
get_highlights — Editorial highlights for the day: top movers, divergences, fresh contagion, freshly-resolved markets. Curated summary view.
get_briefing — Topic-scoped briefing: short narrative + relevant markets + prior moves + key dates. Reusable as a callable /briefing card.
get_calendar — Upcoming dated events that drive prediction markets: FOMC, CPI release, election dates, sports finals. Returns date, topic, and linked tickers.
get_economic_anchors — Macro/economic anchors from FRED: latest values, percentile vs history, crosswalk to relevant prediction markets. For grounding macro theses.
get_yield_curves — Liquidity-weighted yield curves across event types (e.g. KXFED 6mo, KXBTC 30d). For "where on the curve am I trading?" questions.
get_yield_curve — Single yield curve for one event series.
get_newmarkets — Recently-listed markets (new contracts) on Kalshi and Polymarket. For finding fresh trading opportunities.
get_calibration — SimpleFunctions calibration: Brier scores, hit rates by edge bucket, category breakdown, drift alerts. Measured against resolved/settled markets.
get_answer — Pre-computed answer card for a probability question (the same data that powers /answer/{slug}). Returns probability, confidence, and citations.
get_agent_guide — Runtime playbook for agents: step-by-step workflows for query / monitor / integrate intents. Use when an agent is lost or needs onboarding.
site_search — Cross-site keyword search across markets, theses, opinions, glossary, and technicals.
get_changes — Market change events since a timestamp: new contracts, price moves, removed contracts. Used by the live feed and agent context refreshers.
get_skills — List authenticated user's skills. (Public skills are at browse_public_skills.)
get_public_skill — Get a single published skill by slug.
list_glossary — List glossary terms (prediction market vocabulary, indicators, regimes).
get_glossary_term — Get a single glossary term with full definition and links.
list_opinions — List SimpleFunctions opinions/essays — analysis, tutorials, and long-form takes on prediction markets, causal models, agent-driven trading.
get_opinion — Get a single opinion/essay by slug.
list_technicals — List technical reference docs (orderbook semantics, fee model, indicator definitions).
get_technical — Get a single technical reference doc by slug.
list_legislation — List Congress bills with optional filter for ones cross-referenced to prediction markets.
list_congress_members — List sitting US Congress members.
get_congress_member — Get a single Congress member by bioguide ID.
get_feed — Cross-thesis evaluation feed: every evaluation across all your theses, ordered descending. Powers `sf feed` CLI.
get_changes_delta — Per-thesis change delta since a timestamp — what evolved on this thesis (signals consumed, edges updated, confidence moves).
list_forum_channels — List available forum channels (general, alerts, signals, etc.) the agent can read or post to.
get_positions — Advanced: Open Kalshi positions with live P&L. Counterpart to add_position/close_position/update_position which mutate per-thesis position records — this reads
portfolio_positions_list — First-party SimpleFunctions portfolio position snapshots from the ledger-backed read model, distinct from broker-side get_positions.
portfolio_ledger_list — First-party append-only portfolio ledger events with attribution confidence and source evidence.
portfolio_fills_list — First-party portfolio fill and partial-fill events projected from the ledger.
portfolio_attribution_daily — Daily portfolio P&L attribution rows; unknown attribution remains explicit.
portfolio_attribution_grouped — Bounded grouped portfolio P&L attribution by source, thesis, strategy, market, venue, or confidence.

when	check	result	http	latency	detail
2 h ago	mcp initialize	failed	—	—	timeout
9 h ago	mcp initialize	ok	200	1115 ms	server SimpleFunctions 1.0.0 · protocol 2025-06-18 · 108 tools
16 h ago	mcp initialize	ok	200	233 ms	server SimpleFunctions 1.0.0 · protocol 2025-06-18 · 108 tools
22 h ago	mcp initialize	ok	200	221 ms	server SimpleFunctions 1.0.0 · protocol 2025-06-18 · 108 tools
34 h ago	mcp initialize	failed	—	—	timeout
2 d ago	mcp initialize	ok	200	620 ms	server SimpleFunctions 1.0.0 · protocol 2025-06-18 · 108 tools
2 d ago	mcp initialize	ok	200	526 ms	server SimpleFunctions 1.0.0 · protocol 2025-06-18 · 108 tools
2 d ago	mcp initialize	ok	200	241 ms	server SimpleFunctions 1.0.0 · protocol 2025-06-18 · 108 tools
3 d ago	mcp initialize	failed	—	—	timeout
3 d ago	mcp initialize	ok	200	797 ms	server SimpleFunctions 1.0.0 · protocol 2025-06-18 · 108 tools

simplefunctions

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