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Every change Wellknown observed on this MCP server, newest first, with what it was before and what it became. Tool-surface changes carry the definition diff. Nothing here is edited after the fact.
⟨33 unchanged words⟩ :"string"},"change_points_since":{"description":"PointsBACKCASTmovedchange since thesince_date,firstinsnapshotpoints, positive toward Democrats: today's model rerun on the polls of that date, not the number published then","type":"number"},"expected_dem_seats":{ ⟨45 unchanged words⟩ "},"seats_without_forecast":{"description":"Publishing nothing (an independent challenger, becauseorpolls of a candidateformerleftnominee);each is counted for the ballotparty defending it","type":"number"},"since_date":{ ⟨26 unchanged words⟩
49 words differ · removed · added
forecast_racechanged
inputSchema
⟨13 unchanged words⟩ for governor, HOUSE for a U.S. House district. Any case; 'senate' and 'governor' also work.","enum":["SEN","GOV"," ⟨29 unchanged words⟩ type":"string"}},"required":["where","office"],"type":"object"}
11 words differ · removed · added
outputSchema
{"$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","additionalProperties":false,"properties":{"actual_matchup":{"anyOf":[{"type":"string"},{"type":"null"}],"description":"The contest actually on the ballot, when it is not Democrat vs Republican"},"as_of":{"anyOf":[{"type":"string"},{"type":"null"}],"description":"Date of the model run behind this number"},"dem_candidate":{"anyOf":[{"type":"string ⟨27 unchanged words⟩ or district id for the House"},"model_version":{"anyOf":[{"type":"string"},{"type":"null"}]},"movement_basis":{"anyOf":[{"type":"string"},{"type":"null"}]},"movement_points":{"anyOf":[{"type":"number"},{"type":"null"}],"description":"ChangeBACKCASTchange in win probability, in POINTSpoints,
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Tool surface
First tool surface recorded: 4 tools (server version 1.0.0)
the model has no slot for an independent). nominee_changed: the polls on file ask about a former nominee. no_major_party_nominee: a side has nobody yet."},"no_forecast_reason":{"anyOf":[{"type":"string"},{"type":"null"}],"description":"Why nothing is published, in words.
Do not substitute your own estimate."},"office
⟨3 unchanged words⟩
"},{"type":"null"}]},"
p_basis":{"anyOf":[{"enum":["polls","fundamentals","cook_rating","shop_ratings"],"type":"string"},{"type":"null"}],"description":"What set the win probability. 'shop_ratings': an unpolled House district whose probability blends in the rating shops' current ratings while pred_margin stays the lean model's, so the two can point different ways. Say so rather than treating it as an inconsistency."},"