Every change Wellknown observed on this MCP server, newest first, with what it was before and what it became. Tool-surface changes carry the definition diff. Nothing here is edited after the fact.
Certificate recorded, valid to 2027-01-14
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Added "get_expectations" (7 tools before, 8 now)
Isoba: 12-month expectations — What markets price now (Fed rate path from the 2-year Treasury yield, 5-year breakeven inflation, yields) and what happened over the next 12 months after the 10 days since 1990 most similar to today (same 14 sensors as find_similar_days, at least half a year apart), with the number of distinct cycles behind them: US dollar, US stocks (market value of companies, Fed Z.1), 10-year Treasury return, Fed rate, core inflation, unemployment, WTI oil, yield curve, corporate bond spread, cash vs inflation, M2 money growth, and the crypto backdrop (dollar and M2 — there is no open crypto price history …
Added "find_similar_days", "get_changes_since", "get_readings_on_date" and 1 more; changed the definition of "get_current_readings", "get_monthly_history" and "get_track_record" (3 tools before, 7 now)
Today'sIsobareadings with the data date: Dollar System Index (DSI,where the dollar system stands and what it ⟨5 unchanged words⟩ (stress already present in credit and funding, four sensors withitsweek-agofourandsensorsmonth-ago values), market-top risk and US recession risk (withhow oftenaan20%+S&Pmarket
Unknown → Live
First tool surface recorded: 3 tools (server version 0.1.0)
https://isoba.lokio.org/mcp (mcp_streamable_http) — from mcp_registry, with the record
Showing the latest 7 events. The API returns up to 500 and filters by kind: ?kind=tool_surface_changed
Monthly averages of oneIsobaorinstrumentseveral instruments between two months (DSI since 2006, the others since 1990), with the zone of each month. Useitfor trends and to see what theinstrumentinstruments showed around past events.
⟨47 unchanged words⟩ ,"recession_risk"],"type":"string"},"instruments":{"description":"Several instruments at once (instead of instrument)","items":{"enum":["dsi","crisis","top_risk","recession_risk"],"type":"string"},"maxItems":4,"minItems":1,"type":"array"},"to":{"description":"Last month, YYYY-MM ⟨9 unchanged words⟩ [0-2])$","type":"string"}},"required":["instrument"],"type":"object"}
⟨14 unchanged words⟩ published by each day, checked for look-ahead): the Crisis.meterDefaultinsection16"summary"crisesis(whatshort;itaskshowedfor3amonthssectionbefore(crisis_events,on the day and at the peakrecessions,caught in advance / at the time / latemarket_tops,/false_alarms,missed)by_year,recessionmethods,riskall)beforeor3oneUSeventrecessions(gulf,market-top risk before 4 S&Pltcm,500dotcom,topssept11,false-alarmworldcom,ratesbnp,everylehman,yeareuro,sincedowngrade,1990china,(averageoil2016,maximumq4_2018,dayscovid,inbear2022,alarmsvb,whattariffshappened—thator its year)and what it does not catch.. Call it before claiming reliability.
{"additionalProperties":false,"properties":{"event":{"description":"One crisis by id, name or year, e.g. lehman, \"COVID\", 2008","type":"string"},"from_year":{"maximum":2100,"minimum":1990,"type":"integer"},"section":{"description":"Part of the record (default summary)","enum":["summary","crisis_events","recessions","market_tops","false_alarms","by_year","methods","all"],"type":"string"},"to_year":{"maximum":2100,"minimum":1990,"type":"integer"}},"type":"object"}
Isoba: similar days in history — Days since 1990 when the 14 sensors of the crisis meter, market-top risk and recession risk stood closest to a given day (default: today), at least half a year apart and at least a year before the given day, and what followed within 12 months: the crisis meter peak, a US recession (NBER), an S&P 500 bear market, the dollar index. History, not a forecast — always show the spread of outcomes.
Isoba: what changed since a date — What moved between two dates and why: each instrument (from → to, zone change), the sensors that moved most and any that switched on or off, and the filters. Use when the user asked before ("since last week / since I last checked") or asks why a reading changed.
Isoba: readings on a date — What Isoba showed on any working day since 1990-01-01: the four instruments with zones, every sensor, the eight filters (since 2006), the yield curve and the four credit inputs — computed point-in-time from data published by that day. Use for "what did it show before 2008 / on the day of COVID?".
Isoba: what is closest to changing — How many points each instrument is from the next zone boundary up or down, which sensors are closest to switching on or off (threshold 80), and the freshest and stalest inputs. Use for "what would change the picture?".